2016 Barnes Bracketology – Mar. 11

COLUMBUS, Ohio – 2 days and counting. Don’t forget, we’re going DAILY so check back tomorrow for the latest update after all of Friday’s action, which will surely impact the field.

MY PROJECTED FIELD OF 68
(changes in italics)

LOCKS: Did not add a team but shuffled Notre Dame and Iowa a bit. ND moving up in the order while Iowa goes down.

 


LOCKS (37): Kansas, Villanova, Virginia, Oklahoma, Michigan State, Oregon, Xavier, North Carolina, Utah, Miami (FL), Kentucky, Indiana, West Virginia, Duke, Maryland, Purdue, California, Iowa State, Texas, Texas A+M, Arizona, Dayton, Baylor, Notre Dame, Iowa, Wisconsin, Colorado, Texas Tech, Providence, Saint Joseph’s, Seton Hall, Oregon State, Pittsburgh, South Carolina, USC, St. Bonaventure, Wichita State 

 

AUTOS: Only change is that another top seed in a conference tournament lost. This time it was UAB in Conference-USA.

Teams that have clinched their berth will appear in bold

 

AUTOS (25): America East – Stony Brook, American – Temple, Atlantic SunFlorida Gulf CoastBig Sky – Weber State, Big SouthUNC-Asheville, Big West – Hawaii, ColonialUNC-Wilmington, Conference-USAMiddle Tennessee, HorizonGreen Bay, IvyYale, MAACIona, MAC – Akron, MEAC – Hampton, Missouri ValleyNorthern Iowa, Mountain West – San Diego State, Northeast Fairleigh Dickinson, Ohio ValleyAustin PeayPatriotHoly Cross, SouthernChattanooga, Southland – Stephen F. Austin, SWAC – Texas Southern, SummitSouth Dakota State, Sun Belt – AR-Little Rock, WCC – GonzagaWAC – New Mexico State

 

AT-LARGE: Still down to 6 teams and the same 6 teams but a significant move happened. Vanderbilt went from not the 5th to last team in to now the last team in and very vulnerable to dropping out depending on what teams below them do.These are in order, so the last four teams will be playing in the “First Four” in Dayton.

 

AT-LARGE (6): Butler, Cincinnati, Monmouth, VCU, Saint Mary’s, Vanderbilt

 



BUBBLE WATCH

 

BUBBLE: This group has been trimmed again as Georgia Tech and Virginia Tech lost in the ACC Tournament. Neither has a realistic shot now. Other than that, everyone else either won or had a bye.These are in order, so to figure out the first teams out, head to the final team from the AT-LARGE category and look for all the teams behind them.

BUBBLE (20): Butler, Temple, Cincinnati, Monmouth, VCU, Saint Mary’s, Vanderbilt, Syracuse, Tulsa, UConn, San Diego State, Valparaiso, Michigan, Florida, Alabama, George Washington, Georgia, Ohio State, Houston, LSU,

 

SEEDING
CONFERENCE BREAKDOWN
Big 12 (7), Pac-12 (7), ACC (6), Big Ten (6), Big East (5), SEC (5), A-10 (4), American (2), MAAC (2), Missouri Valley (2), West Coast (2)

COMING IN: Middle Tennessee
GOING OUT: UAB
Teams highlighted in green moved up in seeding since last bracket.

Teams highlighted in red moved down in seeding since last bracket.

(Click on bracket to enlarge)
MIDWEST vs. WEST
EAST vs. SOUTH

**Kansas is the overall top seed
GAMES TO WATCH
Michigan vs. Indiana – Michigan avoided the upset vs. Northwestern. Now, they have to topple the top seed. Do that and they are definitely back in the discussion.
South Florida vs. Temple – Temple is in for now as the AAC champion. Lose this and they go on the bubble and it gets dicey for them.
Florida vs. Texas A+M – Gators are in must-win mode. Win this one and maybe another and they could get into the field.
UConn vs. Cincinnati – BUBBALICIOUS! Winner is in great shape. The loser could be in rough shape.
George Washington vs. Saint Joseph’s – GW can do themselves a world of good with this win.
Tennessee vs. LSU – LSU needs to win teh SEC Tournament. The road starts here.
Providence vs. Villanova – Got to think a Villanova win here solidifies the 1 seed for them.
UMass vs. VCU – VCU is in a spot where a loss is devastating. Get this win and get another to feel good.
Notre Dame vs. North Carolina – Tar Heels still could move up to that 1 seed.
Alabama vs. Kentucky – A must-win for Bama, whose hopes are slim.
Memphis vs. Tulsa – Tulsa is also in must-win mode. Have to get this one to stay in the discussion.
Georgia vs. South Carolina – I think Georgia needs to win the SEC Tournament so win and advance to the next battle.
Miami (FL) vs. Virginia – UVA is holding on to that 1 seed for now. Loss here opens up a door.
Seton Hall vs. Xavier – Xavier’s chances at a 1 seed stay alive with this win.
Ohio State vs. Michigan State – The Buckeyes are in must-win mode. This would go a long way into making the committee think. MSU needs this to have a chance at the 1 seed.
Ohio vs. Buffalo – Ohio is my alma mater. So you should watch. Bobcats looking for a spot in the MAc Tournament championship game.

 

Next update will be TOMORROW! Questions? Comments? Sound off on my Twitter or Facebook and I’ll answer any questions.

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