MY PROJECTED FIELD OF 68
(changes in italics)
LOCKS (37): Kansas, Villanova, Virginia, Oklahoma, Michigan State, Oregon, Xavier, North Carolina, Utah, Miami (FL), Kentucky, Indiana, West Virginia, Duke, Maryland, Purdue, California, Iowa State, Texas, Texas A+M, Arizona, Dayton, Baylor, Notre Dame, Iowa, Wisconsin, Colorado, Texas Tech, Providence, Saint Joseph’s, Seton Hall, Oregon State, Pittsburgh, South Carolina, USC, St. Bonaventure, Wichita State
AUTOS: Only change is that another top seed in a conference tournament lost. This time it was UAB in Conference-USA.
Teams that have clinched their berth will appear in bold
AT-LARGE: Still down to 6 teams and the same 6 teams but a significant move happened. Vanderbilt went from not the 5th to last team in to now the last team in and very vulnerable to dropping out depending on what teams below them do.These are in order, so the last four teams will be playing in the “First Four” in Dayton.
BUBBLE: This group has been trimmed again as Georgia Tech and Virginia Tech lost in the ACC Tournament. Neither has a realistic shot now. Other than that, everyone else either won or had a bye.These are in order, so to figure out the first teams out, head to the final team from the AT-LARGE category and look for all the teams behind them.
BUBBLE (20): Butler, Temple, Cincinnati, Monmouth, VCU, Saint Mary’s, Vanderbilt, Syracuse, Tulsa, UConn, San Diego State, Valparaiso, Michigan, Florida, Alabama, George Washington, Georgia, Ohio State, Houston, LSU,
Big 12 (7), Pac-12 (7), ACC (6), Big Ten (6), Big East (5), SEC (5), A-10 (4), American (2), MAAC (2), Missouri Valley (2), West Coast (2)
MIDWEST vs. WEST
EAST vs. SOUTH
South Florida vs. Temple – Temple is in for now as the AAC champion. Lose this and they go on the bubble and it gets dicey for them.
Florida vs. Texas A+M – Gators are in must-win mode. Win this one and maybe another and they could get into the field.
UConn vs. Cincinnati – BUBBALICIOUS! Winner is in great shape. The loser could be in rough shape.
George Washington vs. Saint Joseph’s – GW can do themselves a world of good with this win.
Tennessee vs. LSU – LSU needs to win teh SEC Tournament. The road starts here.
Providence vs. Villanova – Got to think a Villanova win here solidifies the 1 seed for them.
UMass vs. VCU – VCU is in a spot where a loss is devastating. Get this win and get another to feel good.
Notre Dame vs. North Carolina – Tar Heels still could move up to that 1 seed.
Alabama vs. Kentucky – A must-win for Bama, whose hopes are slim.
Memphis vs. Tulsa – Tulsa is also in must-win mode. Have to get this one to stay in the discussion.
Georgia vs. South Carolina – I think Georgia needs to win the SEC Tournament so win and advance to the next battle.
Miami (FL) vs. Virginia – UVA is holding on to that 1 seed for now. Loss here opens up a door.
Seton Hall vs. Xavier – Xavier’s chances at a 1 seed stay alive with this win.
Ohio State vs. Michigan State – The Buckeyes are in must-win mode. This would go a long way into making the committee think. MSU needs this to have a chance at the 1 seed.
Ohio vs. Buffalo – Ohio is my alma mater. So you should watch. Bobcats looking for a spot in the MAc Tournament championship game.