MY PROJECTED FIELD OF 68
(changes in italics)
LOCKS (37): Kansas, Villanova, Virginia, North Carolina, Michigan State, Oregon, Oklahoma, Xavier, Utah, Kentucky, West Virginia, Miami (FL), Indiana, Duke, Maryland, Purdue, California, Iowa State, Texas A+M, Texas, Arizona, Dayton, Baylor, Notre Dame, Iowa, Wisconsin, Colorado, Seton Hall, Providence, Saint Joseph’s, Texas Tech, Oregon State, Pittsburgh, South Carolina, USC, St. Bonaventure, Wichita State
AUTOS: Only change is that another top seed in a conference tournament lost. This time it was UAB in Conference-USA.
Teams that have clinched their berth will appear in bold
These are in order, so the last four teams will be playing in the “First Four” in Dayton.
These are in order, so to figure out the first teams out, head to the final team from the AT-LARGE category and look for all the teams behind them.
Big 12 (7), Pac-12 (7), ACC (6), Big Ten (6), Big East (5), A-10 (4), SEC (4), American (3), MAAC (2), Missouri Valley (2), West Coast (2)
MIDWEST vs. WEST
EAST vs. SOUTH
LSU vs. Texas A+M – LSU needs all the wins it can get.
UConn vs. Temple – UConn can earn their spot in the field with this win. I think Temple is pretty safe even with a loss.
Georgia vs. Kentucky – Georgia also needs to just keep on winning.
Michigan State vs. Maryland – MSU might be able to sneak onto that one seed line. But they have to win the B1G tournament. I’m not convinced the committee will wait though until that game to make the decision on those top seeds.
Davidson vs. VCU – This is big for two reasons. If VCU wins, they all but lock up their spot. But if Davidson wins, they could become a bid-stealer with an A-10 Tournament championship.
Tulane vs. Memphis – Bid-stealer alert! Winner here gets a chance in the American Tournament championship.
West Virginia vs. Kansas – West Virginia could possibly move up to a two seed with this Big 12 championship game victory.
Fresno State vs. San Diego State – San Diego State is on the bubble if they lose, I would argue they are probably out,
Virginia vs. North Carolina – Winner clinches a one seed, though both may have one when all is said and done.
Utah vs. Oregon – Still a slim chance Oregon gets up to a one seed. Just unsure if the committee will put a Pac-12 team on the top line.