US Snowfall almost absent, and that’s abnormal

11-11-snow-cover

Columbus (WCMH) – We are just 40 days away from the 1st day of Winter 2016, and shockingly almost none of the country has snowfall on the ground right now.

 

Current snowfall in the US is at just 0.3%, it was 2.1% last month:

11-11-snowfall-cover

On this map, I noted the areas of the country that actually have some snowfall, and what percentage of that region has it.   Notice a complete absence of snowfall in the upper mid section of the country and the Great Lakes states.

 

So how strange is this that we have almost no snowfall on November 11th across the lower 48?

Very!   Considering last month we had 2.1% coverage of snowfall, and this is the lowest number we have had since 2003 records from NOAA.

Below is the snowfall cover as of November 11th for each year:

 

  • 2016  0.3%
  • 2015  14.9%
  • 2014  19.5%
  • 2013  11.0%
  • 2012  29.6%
  • 2011  14.8%
  • 2010  15.4%
  • 2009  2.8%
  • 2008  18.3%
  • 2007  3.4%
  • 2006  12.4%
  • 2005  6.6%
  • 2004  3.6%
  • 2003  9.9%
  • Average:  11.6%

 

When do we typically see our first snowfall here in Columbus?

According to data from NOAA since Winter of 1931, on average we get our first measurable snowfall (0.01″ or greater) on November 21st.   The earliest measurable (0.01″) since 1931 has been October 19 (1981).   The latest on record was this year, 2016 for the Winter of 15-16, when we had our first snowfall in January 10th.

 

Since 1931 Winter Season how many times has our first measurable snowfall come in each month:

  • October 5 times (6%)
  • November 60 times (71%)
  • December 19 times (22%)
  • January 1 time  (1%)

 

(Below is data since 1931 from NOAA on 1st snowfall of 0.01″ or greater for each Winter season)

Winter Season First 0.01″+ Snow
1931-1932 Nov-27 (1931)
1932-1933 Dec-10 (1932)
1933-1934 Nov-08 (1933)
1934-1935 Dec-08 (1934)
1935-1936 Nov-29 (1935)
1936-1937 Nov-04 (1936)
1937-1938 Nov-18 (1937)
1938-1939 Nov-23 (1938)
1939-1940 Dec-03 (1939)
1940-1941 Nov-15 (1940)
1941-1942 Nov-09 (1941)
1942-1943 Nov-29 (1942)
1943-1944 Nov-10 (1943)
1944-1945 Dec-11 (1944)
1945-1946 Nov-22 (1945)
1946-1947 Dec-16 (1946)
1947-1948 Nov-25 (1947)
1948-1949 Dec-10 (1948)
1949-1950 Dec-08 (1949)
1950-1951 Nov-23 (1950)
1951-1952 Nov-01 (1951)
1952-1953 Nov-29 (1952)
1953-1954 Nov-07 (1953)
1954-1955 Oct-31 (1954)
1955-1956 Nov-18 (1955)
1956-1957 Nov-21 (1956)
1957-1958 Dec-03 (1957)
1958-1959 Nov-28 (1958)
1959-1960 Nov-25 (1959)
1960-1961 Nov-29 (1960)
1961-1962 Nov-19 (1961)
1962-1963 Oct-25 (1962)
1963-1964 Nov-13 (1963)
1964-1965 Nov-29 (1964)
1965-1966 Nov-28 (1965)
1966-1967 Nov-02 (1966)
1967-1968 Nov-05 (1967)
1968-1969 Nov-09 (1968)
1969-1970 Nov-13 (1969)
1970-1971 Nov-15 (1970)
1971-1972 Nov-06 (1971)
1972-1973 Nov-26 (1972)
1973-1974 Dec-10 (1973)
1974-1975 Nov-13 (1974)
1975-1976 Nov-25 (1975)
1976-1977 Nov-21 (1976)
1977-1978 Nov-26 (1977)
1978-1979 Nov-26 (1978)
1979-1980 Nov-28 (1979)
1980-1981 Nov-17 (1980)
1981-1982 Nov-21 (1981)
1982-1983 Dec-10 (1982)
1983-1984 Nov-11 (1983)
1984-1985 Nov-18 (1984)
1985-1986 Dec-02 (1985)
1986-1987 Nov-11 (1986)
1987-1988 Nov-20 (1987)
1988-1989 Nov-06 (1988)
1989-1990 Oct-19 (1989)
1990-1991 Dec-04 (1990)
1991-1992 Nov-07 (1991)
1992-1993 Nov-05 (1992)
1993-1994 Oct-30 (1993)
1994-1995 Dec-10 (1994)
1995-1996 Nov-11 (1995)
1996-1997 Nov-09 (1996)
1997-1998 Nov-04 (1997)
1998-1999 Dec-16 (1998)
1999-2000 Nov-02 (1999)
2000-2001 Nov-14 (2000)
2001-2002 Dec-24 (2001)
2002-2003 Nov-22 (2002)
2003-2004 Nov-24 (2003)
2004-2005 Nov-25 (2004)
2005-2006 Nov-23 (2005)
2006-2007 Nov-20 (2006)
2007-2008 Dec-05 (2007)
2008-2009 Nov-17 (2008)
2009-2010 Dec-18 (2009)
2010-2011 Dec-01 (2010)
2011-2012 Dec-17 (2011)
2012-2013 Oct-30 (2012)
2013-2014 Nov-11 (2013)
2014-2015 Nov-16 (2014)
2015-2016 Jan-10 (2016)

 

My snowfall forecast includes above normal snowfall for this Winter:

10-20-snowfall-by-month

To read more on my updated forecast you can go here: http://nbc4i.com/2016/10/21/my-updated-snowfall-forecast-for-this-winter-2-months-out/

 

If you have any questions about snowfall, our first snow, cold temps or any other weather, email me: dmazza@wcmh.com

Have a great weekend and bundle up!

-Dave

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s