Columbus (WCMH) – Today ended a three day streak of measurable snowfall here in Columbus. In total we had 1.6″ over the Friday-Sunday period.
First off, below is the forecast snowfall total that I gave out on Friday:
There was a lot of questions last week when I showed what appeared to be my very conservative forecast vs what some other outlets were showing. I had heard/see that some cable networks, and different websites were floating 4-8″ and upwards of 5-12″ of snowfall.
Here at NBC4 we stuck to our forecast and made minor tweaks to it based on where the rain line would be, and where the heaviest precipitation would fall.
When all was said and done, Sunday was not a very snowy day, and in fact ended with rain and rising temps that would melt the snow:
Below is the same forecast graphic with the actual snowfall numbers reported around our area.
Here is the latest forecast model that we just got in this evening. Again, we are going to see our snow showers forming mid-morning and continuing to the mid afternoon:
Another quick shot of moisture will move into our area just after sunrise on Tuesday and will bring with it a chance of snow, then sleet and snow mixed, and then rain and snow mixed later in the day on Tuesday. Temperatures will be the big factor in the change-over starting around 10a, then the 2nd changeover around 1pm.
Behind this system much colder air moves in with breezy conditions for Wednesday, highs will only be in the mid 20s. Wednesday night/early Thursday morning wind chills will drop below zero.
Thursday set to be one of the coldest days of the year:
Thursday the forecast high is only 15, if we hit that number it will be the 2nd coldest afternoon of the year. The lowest temp for the year has been 2 in the city, and we will be in the neighborhood on Friday morning, I don’t think we will get there, due to clouds, and lack of good snowcover on the ground, but we will get close.
Friday night/Saturday looks interesting too:
Friday night another system pushes up into our backyards. It will bring snow around/after sunset and then a sharp push of warmer air will lift north. I think we will see some accumulating snow Friday night, then changing to a wintry mix overnight with freezing rain and sleet possible, before changing to all rain pre-sunrise Saturday morning.
By Saturday afternoon it is possible we will lose most if not all of our snow, with much warmer temperatures (in the mid to upper 40s) and rainfall. But then on the backside Saturday night temps will fall and snow will return overnight into Sunday.
Long term there are indications that we might slow this pattern the week of Christmas:
It does appear more mild seaonal to possibly above normal temps could return between the 20th-24th of December. I wouldn’t get too excited, but it appears the jet might take a big dip to the west and then drive north to our west. This would bring a rainmaker to our area, and warmer temps. I always hate getting too in love with a long range winter model, but it will be something to watch.
If you have any questions about winter weather, snow, or anything else, email me: firstname.lastname@example.org